Sir Mark Prescott has not had the best of seasons but tomorrow he looks set to pull of an elusive victory in the Cesarewitch with Motivado.
The Ebor favourite was staying on at York after winning well earlier in the summer at Glorious Goodwood. The form of the Ebor has worked out since and Sir Mark’s horse looks primed to make his class count in the marathon on the Rowley Mile. He will not be without opposition though with two interesting Irish contenders in O’Brien’s I Have A Dream and Dermot Weld’s Olympiad looking strong. There has been much talk about the ground with Weld’s challenger but the combination with Pat Smullen has to be respected; Moore’s booking on O’Brien’s horse is also significant. The change of stable for the Chester winner Tominator is worthy of noting as is Richard Hughes champion jockey elect’s confidence in his mount Matyr. Two 40/1 outsiders are not without each way chances – Dark Ranger and Stormy Weather. Stormy Weather is bound to stay all day and will be finishing as others will be falling back. Talk from the gallops suggests that Dark Ranger will build on his fourth last time out in the Cesarewitch Trial.
Given the depth of the field and potential rivals to Sir Mark’s Motivado, Crockford advises punters to be cautious of too much confidence in on the nose bets. The 16/1 looks to be excellent each way value for a horse who did nothing wrong in the Ebor. The master of Heath House may pull off an even larger coup tomorrow if he Kepler’s Law can return from a long lay off to the winners enclosure – but that certainly is not as likely as a win for Motivado.
Newmarket’s Future Champions Day sees the impressive Dawn Approach take on Ashdan in the Dewhurst and the unbeaten Reckless Abandon looking to continue his winning run in the Middle Park. Adam Kirby had the difficult but lucky choice between Moohaajim and Reckless Abandon in the Group One Middle Park. Crockford thinks that he made a brave but may be reckless choice taking the ride on Moohaajim who so impressed Kirby at Newbury.
The National Hunt season starts in earnest tomorrow at Chepstow with a number of quality performers including Hinterland and Fingal Bay making their seasonal reappearances. Across in the Czech Republic Liam Treadwell will try to complete the Grand National and Velka Pardubicka when riding the leading fancy Trezor. The double has only been completed once before by a rider and he will face strong local opposition looking to spoil the party. Uncle Junior for Willie Mullins may also relish the tough test that this unique race presents.
Crockford’s Dead Cert – Dawn Approach (2.55 Newmarket)
Bolger’s unbeaten juvenile will be a short price for the Dewhurst but is a worthy favourite. Impressive in the National Stakes latest he should be a Dead Cert to shine above all the other rising stars tomorrow at HQ.
Crockford’s Whisper – Motivado (3.25 Newmarket e/w)
Sir Mark Prescott has been unlucky with some hot fancies in this race before but this horse seems to have slipped under the radar a little and is excellent each way value at 16/1. If talk is right he should provide Heath House with a good end to an otherwise disappointing season by their standards.
Archer’s Selection – Reckless Abandon (2.20 Newmarket)
Given the choice that Kirby was faced with Archer would not have hesitated to have chosen this colt. It looks like Reckless Abandon to desert this Royal Ascot and French winner for another mount.
Crockford’s other gambles around the courses:
Newmarket – Libranno (1.50), Reckless Abandon (2.20), Dawn Approach (2.55), Motivado e/w and Dark Ranger e/w (3.25), Just the Judge (4.05) and Bronze Angel (5.15)
Chepstow – Fingal Bay (3.00), Hinterland (3.40), Dark and Dangerous (4.10) and Rangitoto (4.45)
York – Tax Free e/w (2.05), Sirius Prospect e/w (3.45) and Grayswood (4.20)
Velka Pardubicka (3.25) – Trezor and Uncle Junior
(Featured Photograph – Motivado at Glorious Goodwood by Stuart Rice)
(Photograph – Motivado winning at Glorious Goodwood by Stuart Rice)