Jockey Kieren Fallon to make a True Story by winning the Investec Derby 2014 on Godolphin’s Feilden Stakes winner

The 49 year-old jockey is bullish about the Derby chances of his highly touted Feilden Stakes winner True Story. The Godolphin colt was a hot favourite for the Dante and looked as if he had disappointed when only finishing third. However, the form had taken a mighty franking when The Grey Gatsby destroyed a quality field in the Prix Du Jockey Club last weekend.

The whispers have been strong around Newmarket about the chances of the True Story since the beginning of the season and could almost rival those that have surrounded the Derby favourite Australia. The Ballydoyle fancy is bred to win the race being by Galileo out of the Oaks winner Ouija Board. Held in such high regard by the stable, Australia was third at Newmarket in 2000 Guineas which looked to be the perfect trial. There is no doubt he  has the speed but the potentially softer conditions could take the edge of him.

Taghrooda was the runaway winner of the Oaks yesterday for trainer John Gosden, who must fancy his chances of a good run from his unbeaten and clearly talented colt Western Hymn today. There looks to be more to come from this horse if he handles the supreme test that is the Investec Derby.

Crockford considers each of the sixteen declared runners in the Investec Derby 2014:

Arod – Second in the Dante behind the subsequent French Derby winner The Grey Gatsby, he has improved with each run and has on that reckoning a lively each way chance at double figure odds.

Australia – The talking horse of Ireland. Bred to be the winner of the Derby, the Ballydoyle colt certainly has Classic potential and would have won the 2000 Guineas in lesser years. If the ground stays with him and has luck in running he could be very hard to beat. Third winner for Aidan O’Brien in a row?

Ebanoran – Winner of a competitive Derrinstown before being disqualified. Has good form and clearly beat the Ballydoyle well supported second string Geoffrey Chaucer. There just may be a handful of horses better than him today.

Fascinating Rock – Placed first in front of Ebanoran in the Derrinstown and clearly progressive. Uncertain that he has the ability to win a Derby though.

Geoffrey Chaucer – Will have to improve substantially from his last run to figure in this, but he did not have luck in running and was eased down close home when finishing behind Ebanoran and Fascinating Rock.

Impulsive Moment – Second behind Western Hymn at Sandown and looks outclassed by this field.

Kingfisher – A winner at Chester last month, this colt looks to be the outsider amongst the Ballydoyle horses.

Kingston Hill – Unbeaten last season and eighth on his return this year in an excellent 2000 Guineas. This grey will relish any cut in the ground and looks a Derby type. Strong place claims.

Orchestra – Good Chester Vase winner and could have beaten Romsdal more easily last time out if he wanted to. Jockey booking suggests that he is down the Ballydoyle pecking order though.

Our Channel – A winner over the course in April in the recognised trial for the Derby. The trial may not have been strong but he deserves more respect than the bookies odds.

Pinzolo – Battling winner who ran on nicely at Newmarket last time out. Probably short of the class of the main contenders as form lines would confirm from last season.

Red Galileo –  Prospects of victory look forlorn unless his performances have been overshadowed by early season poor form.

Romsdal – May have been flattered by the close second to Orchestra at Chester. Better chances for Gosden of an Epsom Classic Double with his other runner.

Sudden Wonder – Good win in the sales race at Newmarket at the Craven Meeting followed up by a third at Lingfield which exposed the limits of his ability.

True Story –  Before the Craven Meeting all the talk in Newmarket was about how good this horse was, he then duly delivered in the Feilden Stakes. The Dante looks a strong renewal and with Fallon on board he looks the likely horse if any to upset the hopes of those around Australia.

Western Hymn – Progressed nicely and has done nothing wrong. The style of his last victory suggests that there is more to come. Strong each way claims.

CROCKFORD’S INVESTEC DERBY 2014 PREDICTION:

1 TRUE STORY

2 AUSTRALIA

3 WESTERN HYMN

Fallon will be celebrating another Derby victory at the age of 49, making it a True Story to go down in the annuals of the great race.

 

(Featured Photograph – True Story at Newmarket by Stuart Rice)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

True Story