Certify and Rosdhu Queen’s performances at HQ have led to many punters believing that have classic potential – but Crockford thinks that would be overlooking stronger clues from the weekend to the 2013 1000 Guineas winner.
Certify’s impressive win on Friday in the Shadwell Fillies Mile has led the bookmakers quoting her as short as 7/1 for next years classic. Unbeaten in her four starts the Goldolphin filly has attracted many admirers. Both Sky Lantern who she beat in the Sweet Solera and Purr Along in the May Hill at Doncaster also figure in the market and have followers of their own.
Rosdhu Queen’s fouth successive victory was more workman like in the Cheveley Park on Saturday at HQ. Crockford having viewed the field and race would suggest to punters that this was not the best renewal of the race. Ladbrokes currently offer the William Haggas filly at 20/1 for the Guineas and that looks a fair reflection of her chance of winning the mile classic.
However, Crockford believes the value around for the Guineas lies with Viztoria (the Blenheim Stakes winner). Her victory on Sunday in the listed contest at the Curragh was more than impressive. The filly trounced her rivals by seven and a half lengths and as Johnny Murtagh (who also rode Rosdhu Queen the day before) suggested to ATR that if she was from a big yard she would be as low as 6/4 for the Guineas. Available with Hills at 16/1 and SkyBet at 20/1 she is certainly worth an ante-post investment.
If Viztoria were with O’Brien and not with Edward Lynam punters would be falling over themselves to back her at those prices.
1000 Guineas prices (Hills) – Certify 7/1, Sky Lantern 10/1, What A Name 14/1, Rosdhu Queen and Viztoria 16/1
(Featured Photograph – Johnny Murtagh on Roshdu Queen by Stuart Rice)