In the most open St Leger in years the Classic form of Talent, Libertarian and Galileo Rock will dominate to placings of the oldest English Classic
With the favourites priced around the 5/1 mark this morning for the Classic, today’s St Leger is one of the most open renewals since its first running in 1776.
Crockford’s ante-post selections Libertarian and Talent have attracted support as expected over the last few weeks, with Talent’s price tumbling from 20/1 to around 7/1 with firms. Trainer John Gosden has had a in excellent record in the last few years and comes to the race with the fancied Excess Knowledge. Unlucky at Glorious Goodwood in the Gordon Stakes punters have latched on to his chances. Crockford however would ward caution that the form of his races is nowhere close to matching that of his Classic rivals – Libertarian and Talent.
Both Talent and Libertarian recorded poor runs in Ireland after their career bests in the Oaks and Derby. Crockford believes that those efforts can be excused and is certain that if near their best they will dispatch the unproven Excess Knowledge. Galileo Rock who finished behind Libertarian at Epsom ran well in front of him in the Irish Derby but may find the softening conditions against him. Foundry looked useful at York but has been overlooked by Joseph O’Brien who favours Queen’s Vase winner Leading Light. However, Moore has been booked on the right horse before – Ruler Of The World in the Derby. Classic form will hold the key for the final Classic of the season.
Crockford’s St Leger prediction:
3 Galileo Rock
The St Leger will be supported by a good card of races this afternoon. Outstrip will look to stamp his class in the Champagne Stakes (2.05) and the filly Viztoria will hope to show that as a part of the Classic generation she has too much for her older opponents in the Park Stakes (3.15). Steps should relish conditions in the big handicap – The Portland (2.40) but will have to fend off a strong challenge from the in-form Bogart.
Crockford’s Dead Cert – Outstrip (Doncaster 2.05)
Impressive winner at HQ before just being collared at the finish by the useful Toormoor at Glorious Goodwood. He may just of gone too early that day on the Sussex Downs and the opposition today looks somewhat weaker. This Godolphin grey is a Dead Cert.
Crockford’s Whisper – Viztoria e/w (Doncaster 3.15)
This classy filly goes well first time out and will be well suited by the drop in trip to seven furlongs after slightly disappointing in the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot. Connections can expect a big show from the three-year-old.
Archer’s Selection – Bishop Roko (Doncaster 4.25)
Archer would have noticed that not everything went the way of connections in the Ebor and that more can be expected from this progressive horse. The potential of this horse would have attracted the shrewd judge of flesh.
Crcokford’s gambles around the courses this afternoon:
Doncaster – Outstrip (2.05), Bogart e/w and Steps e/w (2.40), Viztoria e/w and Caspar Netscher e/w (3.15), Libertarian e/w and Talent e/w (ST LEGER – 3.50), Bishop Roko (4.25) and Heskin e/w (5.00)
Chester – Telegraph (1.50), Alejandro e/w (2.20) and Tac De Boistron (2.55)
Bath – Baytown Kestrel e/w (2.15), Plutocracy (4.35) and Fanrouge e/w (5.05)
Lingfield – Whitefall (2.30), Stars Above Me (3.40), Our Duchess (4.15), Raging Bear (4.50), The Cheka (5.20) and Pucon (5.50)
(Featured Photograph – Libertarian after the Derby by Stuart Rice)