Grand National: Crockford’s Gamble Pineau De Re WON 25/1

Crockford’s Gamble Pineau De Re WON the Grand National 2014 at 25/1

Crockford advised punters of the ante post value available for Dr Richard Newland’s horse back on 15 March (Grand National 2014 Ante Post: Cheltenham Festival Clues). Crockford’s followers were told to take a second look at the 50/1 on offer after his impressive third in the Pertemps Final at the Cheltenham Festival.

In the same post an each way gamble was also recommended on Hobbs’ Cross Country Chase winner Balthazar King at 33/1.

 

(Featured Photograph – Pineau De Re finishs third in the Pertemps Final by Stuart Rice)

 

Grand National 2014: Crockford Considers National Runners

Crockford considers the chances of each and every one of the forty Grand National 2014 runners:

Tidal Bay – Trainer Paul Nicholls recently said that if he could only win one more race as a trainer it would be this National with Tidal Bay. Tidal Bay is a class act and will be staying on right to the finish. If he is thereabouts at the last he will be hard to beat.

Long Run – Winner of the 2011 Gold Cup  and one of the best horses to have ever run in the National. His trainer Nicky Henderson believes him to be his best chance of a winner. Jockey Sam Waley-Cohen has the best record over these fences and won the Foxhunters on Thursday.

Hunt Ball – Most improved horse in training a couple of seasons ago. Has not been disgraced in his races this year and deserves respect if taking to the unique test. Definite each way claims.

Triolo D’Alene – Impressive winner of the Topham Chase last year over the fences before going from strength to strength this season. The Hennessy winner may just be stopped by his weight. Highly regarded.

Rocky Creek – Exciting novice last year and has shown his ability this year too. Interesting and unexposed runner.

Quito De La Roque – A horse not to be written off with some excellent form in the book. Not currently in the form of previous years.

Colbert Station – Big things were expected from him last year, but he did not deliver. It looks like his chance of winning the race has gone.

Walkon – Running on strongly in the Topham over the course last year. Deserves much more respect that the betting has afforded him. If he stays he has very strong place claims. Likes the fences.

Balthazar King – Fancied by those in the know. His run at Cheltenham may have just taken too much out of him for him to be competitive today. Expect him to be out in front but fade late on in the race.

Wayward Prince – Mercurial and once very talented this horse will struggle to figure again today.

Mr Moonshine – On all known form he should not win, but that was the case with his stablemate last year who won to everyone’s surprise.

Teaforthree – Connections are confident of another big run from last year’s third. Can he do better this year? This year’s renewal looks stronger.

Across The Bay – Stays all day and if he jumps well he should certainly make it to the finish. A lively outsider.

Double Seven – Interesting choice of the Champion Jockey AP McCoy. The JP McManus/McCoy partnership have been successful in the past and the profile of this runner does stand out. Is he good enough though?

Battle Group – The race has been plotted for the horse all season. Connections are confident of a bold show. Battle Group loves this time of year and Aintree. If he is in the right mood he could be dangerous.

Buckers Bridge – Probably outclassed and hasn’t really proved that he has the stamina to last home.

Lion Na Bearnai – Lots of Irish confidence in this Irish National winner. In good form this season and loves big fields like this.

Prince De Beauchene – The talking horse of the last two seasons. He has now made the race but in much more disappointing form than he has previously shown. Has good form at the course.

Monbeg Dude – He will need to have his jumping up to scratch, but with the brilliant Paul Carberry booked expect a waited run. Only concern is that he may get into trouble or be given too much to do at the finish.

Big Shu – Travelled well last time out at Cheltenham behind Balthazar King and will be fit for this. Concern that Carberry takes the ride on Monbeg Dude instead.

Burton Port – Very talented horse in his youth but has been wayward until his second last time out. Great chance if he is back to anywhere near his best.

Our Father – On his day he would certainly figure but his inconsistent performances make other runners more appealing.

Mountainous – Welsh National winner who would like it to be testing. Likley not to have the speed to be competitive today.

The Rainbow Hunter – Bounced back to form last time out and could make a bold show at long odds.

Vintage Star – A fall at Cheltenham in his last race will not be perfect preparation for this. Others look more promising.

Chance Du Roy – Likes the unique National fences and is in good spirits this year. Expect him to finish and potentially figure in the placings.

Hawkes Point – Unexposed and a good second in the Welsh National. Probably not good enough to win in such a strong renewal of the race.

Kruzhlinin – Worthy of long odds, even if he is from the National winning McCain yard.

Pineau De Re – Excellent third at the Cheltenham Festival over hurdles. That run will have him right for his attempt. Very strong each way claims for this proven stayer.

Golan Way – Very easy winner at Warwick and should be prominent in running. A question mark is his ability to see out the marathon distance.

Twirling Magnet – Outclassed in this field and hard to see winning.

Vesper Bell – Talked of as a National horse for some time. This stayer has ability but needs to have a clear round to figure.

The Package – Good run at Cheltenham should be him right for this. Stronger pointer that Tom Scudamore takes the ride.

Raz De Maree –  Easy winner of the Cork National and third at Down Royal recently. Needs to improve to figure here.

Rose Of The Moon – This stayer is probably not good enough to win but has the ability to finish.

Shakalakaboomboom – Headgear on this horse for the first time, will have to make a huge difference for him to win.

Alvarado – Impressive winner earlier this season at Cheltenham. Has not repeated that form since, but if in top form could have place chances.

Last Time D’Albain – Good third in the Topham last season and clearly likes Aintree. Going to have place chances if back in that form.

One In A Milan –  Evan Williams has a good record with National horses. Interesting preparation for this runner but probably not good enough.

Swing Bill – This grey likes the special test that is the National fences and looks likely to finish again today

CROCKFORD’S GRAND NATIONAL PREDICTION:

1 TIDAL BAY

2 LONG RUN

3 WALKON

4 PINEAU DE RE

Paul Nicholls is set to train another Grand National winner with the veteran runner Tidal Bay.

(Featured Photograph – Paul Nicholls by Stuart Rice)

 

 

 

 

Grand National Festival: O’Faolains Boy for Mildmay Success

RSA winner O’Faolains Boy looks set for Mildmay success on day two of the Grand National Festival 2014

Rebecca Curtis’s impressive Festival winner looks set to follow up in the Grade One contest. His strongest challenge is likely to come from the irish raider Don Cossack. Don Cossack fell when travelling in the RSA and if he can put in a clear round in the Mildmay he will be a threat.

The Topham Chase appears to be a quality renewal where the top weights Champion Court and Double Ross set the grade. Both like to race prominently and could be well suited by the unique challenge that the National fences will present.

Crockford’s Dead Cert – O’Faolains Boy (Mildmay 2.30)

Always highly regarded by connections this RSA winner showed his true potential earlier this season at Ascot. If he can repeat his Festival form and with the stable having winners expect him to be hard to beat.

Crockford’s Whisper – Double Ross e/w (Topham 3.40)

A revelation this season and ultra consistent at the top level. His front-running style will mean that he is likely to avoid any problems in running. Double priced odds make this a possibly lucrative each way proposition.

Crockford’s Gamble on Day Two of the Grand National Festival 2014:

Top Novice (2.00) – Sgt Reckless

Mildmay (2.30) – O’Faolains Boy

Melling (3.05) – Boston Bob e/w

Topham (3.40) – Double Ross e/w and Tatenen e/w

Sefton (4.15) – Killala Quay e/w and Port Melon e/w

Handicap Hurdle (4.50) – Caid Du Berlais e/w and Cheltenian e/w

Mares NH Flat (5.25) – Kayf Hampshire e/w

 

(Featured Photograph – O’Faolains Boy and Smad Place jump the last in the RSA by Stuart Rice)

Grand National Festival: The New One To Reign

The New One look sets to reign in the Grade One Aintree Hurdle on the first day of the Grand National Festival 

The New One will hope to get back to winning ways on the first day of the Grand National meeting after what many see as an unlucky run in the Champion Hurdle. Running on strongly at the finish at Cheltenham, Nigel Twiston-Davies’s stable star will not have face such esteemed rivals today. Both Grandouet and Rock On Ruby return to hurdles after disappointing runs last time out, but will have to be at their very best to get near to The New One.

Silviniaco Conti will take on the impressive Ryanair winner Dynaste in the Betfred Bowl. Paul Nicholls’s chaser was run out of the finish in the Gold Cup but is certain to shine in a race where the conditions will suit. Silviniaco Conti will be joined in the Betfred Bowl by First Lieutenant who will look to land the prize for Ireland.

Oscar Whisky’s connections will hope that he can put his first fence fall at the Festival behind him and show his ability at his favoured course. The unlucky Triumph fourth Calipto will try to reverse form with the Dessie Hughes trained Guitar Pete in the opener.

Mossey Joe fetched a big price at auction this season and is a worthy short price favourite for the Foxhunters, and the novice Arnaud is well placed to take the Red Rum Chase.

Crockford’s Dead Cert – Silviniaco Conti (Betfred Bowl 2.30)

The King George winner was run out of the finish of the Gold Cup last month but will have the stamina and ability to run the grey Dynaste out of the finish. The course, distance and ground will not present a problem to this class act.

Crockford’s Whisper – Carole’s Destrier e/w (5.25)

The Kempton Silver Plate winner has been thrown in at the weights and is certain to make a bold show. At around 10/1 the each way possibilities look really attractive for this whisper.

Crockford’s Gambles on Day One of the Grand National Festival 2014:

Juvenile (2.00) – Guitar Pete e/w

Betfred Bowl (2.30) – Silviniaco Conti

Aintree Hurdle (3.05) – The New One

Foxhunters (3.40) – Mossey Joe

Red Rum (4.15) – Arnaud and Gus Macrae e/w

Manifesto (4.50) – Oscar Whisky

Handicap Hurdle (5.25) – Carole’s Destrier e/w and Busty Brown e/w

 

(Featured Photograph – The New One before the Champion Hurdle by Stuart Rice)

 

Grand National: Long Run Since Golden Miller Double

Can Long Run join an elusive club to win both the Grand National and Cheltenham Gold Cup?

Seventy years have passed since the great Golden Miller achieved the most elusive of equine feats by winning both the Grand National and the Cheltenham Gold Cup in the same year.

By the 1934 Grand National Golden Miller had already claimed three Gold Cups and was still due to take the 1935 and 1936 renewals.

L’Escargot took the National in 1975 after having won the Gold Cup in 1970 and 1971. Horses have tried and failed since to do the great double with the last to be the ill fated Synchronised in 2012.

This year the 2011 Gold Cup victor will look to end the Long Run of failures by winning the world’s most famous steeplechase. Henderson’s nine-year-old has been placed three times in the Gold Cup and has been reported as schooling well over National style fences in recent weeks. Disappointing this season connections chose to serve another attempt  of Cheltenham Festival glory to head to the National instead.

With a confidence boosting win under Long Run’s belt last time out  at Kelso, he heads to the race in good form. Priced with most firms as the third favourite his front running style could be well suited by the race. Jockey Sam Waley-Cohen is no newcomer to success over the National fences and his experience will be beneficial.

But can Long Run bridge the gap  and win the Grand National? Long Run is no Golden Miller, but if he jumps well and takes to the course his price of 14/1 looks to be great each way value.

 

 

(Featured Photograph – Golden Miller – Creative Commons)

 

 

 

Grand National 2014 Ante Post: Cheltenham Festival Clues

Crockford considers the Grand National 2014 Ante Post clues from this week at the Cheltenham Festival

Wednesday’s Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase provided stronger pointers to the Grand National 2014 Ante Post market with the winner Balthazar King and third Big Shu both putting in notable performances.

Top prices put Hobbs’ Festival winner at 33/1 with most firms and the Irish challenger Big Shu at 40/1 with Ladbrokes/Corals/Hills .

The cross country chasers are accomplished jumpers who have the stamina to figure at Aintree. Balthazar King travelled well last year in the National before fading on the second circuit, but goes to the race in much better form this year.

A faller in the National last year Tatenen has put in three credible efforts so far this season culminating in a valiant third in the competitive Byrne Group Plate on Thursday. Richard Rowe’s horse was a good winner at Newbury in November and second behind Aachen at Sandown in February. With him priced at 66/1 Rowe’s chaser is worth a second look.

Earlier on Thursday in the Pertemps Network Final, Dr Newland’s Pineau De Re was a close third to Fingal Bay. If Pineau De Re can convert that form back over fences in April the odds of 50/1 available with Paddy Power are attractive value.

The Gold Cup on Friday provided plenty of clues for the Grand National and has placed On His Own at the top of the market with most firms who are quoting a price of 10/1.

However, on Betfair On His Own is trading at 50.0 suggesting that his participation is in doubt. Unsuccessful on two previous attempts 2014 may not be his year either.

Some way behind the second in the Gold Cup, Teaforthree and Triolo D’Alene posted credible runs, but  at 10/1 and 20/1 respectively more Grand National 2014 ante post value may be available elsewhere.

Betfair Exchange Grand National 2014 Ante Post Prices (15/3/2014): Teaforthree 12.0, Triolo D’Alene 24.0, Balthazar King 34.0, Big Shu 40.0, Pineau De Re 55.0 and Tatenen 380.00  

 

(Featured Photograph – Glenfarclas Cross Country 2014 at Cheltenham Festival by Stuart Rice)

 

David Pipe Goes for Silver with Legacy Gold At Kempton

Trainer David Pipe will go for Silver with Legacy Gold in Silver Plate Handicap Hurdle at Kempton this afternoon

Following a good week for David Pipe and Pond House at the Festival, the team will now take aim at Saturday’s big race prizes with two Brookhouse owned horses – Legcacy Gold and Goulanes.

Legacy Gold had been spoken of as a horse with Festival chances but was waited with for a tilt at the valuable Silver Plate at Kempton this afternoon instead. The main danger may well come from the stablemate Prideofthecastle who is quoted at big odds for the contest. Last Saturday Baltimore Rock landed the big prize at Sandown expect Legacy Gold for the same connections to do so this weekend.

Goulanes was disappointing in the Welsh Grand National on desperate ground, which would probably would not have suited him. Back on better conditions the classy last season novice is certain to make a bolder show. The threats to another Pipe winner will come from the rejuvenated Wyck Hill, Alan King’s West End Rocker and Willie Mullins’ raider Are Ya Right ChiefHarry Topper is the class horse in the race but may not compete due to conditions.

Crockford advises any punters with Grand National 2014 fancies in the Midlands Grand National this afternoon to place their bets before the off as the outcome is likely to influence the big race market.

Current  Grand National 2014 Ante Post shows have Wyck Hill 25/1, Goulanes 66/1, Junior 66/1 and Pete The Feat 66/1

With Rebecca Curtis, David Pipe, Phillip Hobbs and Alan King all in-form it will certainly be worth following their charges this afternoon.

Crockford’s Dead Cert – Legacy Gold (Kempton 2.55)

Entered up in a number of the big Cheltenham prizes last week, this horse was strongly fancied in advance of the Festival. Pipe’s choice to go to the Silver Plate at Kempton alongside the confidence behind this in the yard suggests that this hurdler has to be a Dead Cert.

Crockford’s Whisper – Hollow Tree e/w (Newcastle 4.00)

Five times victorious in 2011, this Grade One winning horse has dropped and dropped in company. In a race now on good ground against weak opposition expect the large odds available on him to look good value by later this afternoon.

Archer’s Selection – Romford Pele (Kempton 3.30)

Archer would have noticed the form that the Curtis yard is in and the ability that this horse has. In on a good weight for the Silver Bowl this would have been Archer’s selection.

Crockford’s Gambles on Saturday 15 March:

Kempton –  Tante Sissi (2.20), Legacy Gold (2.55), Romford Pele (3.30),  First Mohican (4.05) and Ned Stark (4.40)

Uttoxeter – Lamb Or Cod e/w (2.40), Aubusson e/w and Irish Buccaneer e/w (3.15), Goulanes e/w, Wyck Hill e/w and West End Rocker e/w (Midlands National 3.50)

Newcastle – Stormy Weather (3.20) and Hollow Tree  e/w (4.00)

Fontwell – Hawkhill e/w (3.05) and Henryville (4.15)

 

(Featured Photograph – David Pipe and Alastair Down at Cheltenham by Stuart Rice)

 

Grand National Clues In Grimthorpe Chase

Grand National clues in Doncaster’s Grimthorpe Chase with Monbeg Dude and Godsmejudge in the line up

Welsh National winner Monbeg Dude and Scottish National victor Godsmejudge will clash in the Grimthorpe Chase at Doncaster tomorrow. Scudamore’s stayer Monbeg Dude is currently amongst the favourites for the Aintree feature at 16/1 with Hills and will look to add to his credentials by taking the three and a quarter mile chase.

In his way will be trainer Alan King’s Cheltenham Festival third who looks set to bounce back to his best. With yard’s horses running well, punters should give Godsmejudge a second look before his Grand National odds shorten from the 25/1 available with Ladbrokes.

Crockford’s Dead Cert – Red Devil Lads (Newbury 1.30)

The most highly regarded of horses, Red Devil Lads has shown plenty of raw potential in his starts so far. Now in handicap company, expect a bold show with AP McCoy booked to guide this certainty home to his first under rules win.

Crockford’s Whisper – Godsmejudge e/w (Doncaster 3.30)

Priced at 20/1 for the Grand National, King’s Scottish National winner will look to bounce back to form in the Grimthorpe Chase. The eight-year-old certainly has the form and potential to figure in the finish of this key Grand National trial.

Archer’s Selection – Stasio (Lingfield 5.10)

Archer would have not missed last season’s talk from the gallops about this horse. Back to good form Archer would have wanted to be up on Simcock’s horse.

Crockford’s Gambles around the courses on Saturday 1 March:

Doncaster – Turn Over Sivola (2.55), Monbeg Dude and Godsmejudge e/w (3.30) and Tistory (4.40)

Newbury – Red Devil Lads (1.30), Tullamore Dew (2.40), Shangani (3.50) and Sergeant Dick e/w (4.25)

Kelso – Opening Batsman (4.15) and Tartan Snow (5.25)

Lingfield – Spic N’Span e/w (1.10), Halljoy (2.50), Taajub and Ballista e/w (4.00), Castillo Del Diablo (4.35) and Stasio (5.10)

Navan – Taglietelle e/w (2.35), Touch Of Eden (3.45) and Becauseicouldntsee (4.20)

 

(Featured Photograph – Godsmejudge at Cheltenham by Stuart Rice)

Grand National 2014: One More Winner Tidal Bay

Trainer Nicholls reveals that if he could only win one more race it would be the Grand National  2014 with Tidal Bay

Paul Nicholls revealed to his followers on twitter on Monday evening that if he could choose to train only one more winner in his illustrious career it would be Tidal Bay in this year’s Grand National.

The trainer spent the evening answering questions from punters and followers of turf via @BetfairRacing; when towards the end of the session he was put on the spot by @TeamHandsomeTip who asked:

“If you could only win one more race as a trainer which would it be & which horse would you win it with?”

Nicholls replied simply:

The Grand National with Tidal Bay

The thirteen-year-old Tidal Bay is currently priced at 16/1 with most firms to win the Grand National 2014 after finishing a good second in the Hennessy Gold Cup earlier this month.

It would appear that Nicholls’ plans for Tidal Bay are to go out on the same high as his winner Neptune Collonges did back in 2012. This will be Tidal Bay’s second attempt at the Grand National fences having unseated his rider in the race back in 2011 when trained by Howard Johnson.

With the form that the fifteen-time winner Tidal Bay has been showing in the last two seasons his trainer may just get his wish of another famous last hurrah.

 

(Featured Photograph – Paul Nicholls at Cheltenham by Stuart Rice)

BetBright Bet Hobbs – Planet Of Sound

Trainer Phillip Hobbs has an excellent record in the BetBright Chase, so BetBright bet Planet of Sound

The twelve-year-old Planet of Sound bounced back to form when winning at Kempton last time out. The one-time quality performer has dropped down in class and appears to have found his level again.  With Hobbs having an impressive record in the race Planet of Sound looks outstanding value at around 12/1. His main opposition will come from Grandioso who has threatened to run big races this season and the conditions here in the BetBright Chase (3.50) would seem to suit. Bury Parade Nicholls’ other runner may have too much to carry and we cannot be certain if David Pipe’s Standing Ovation will be in the form needed to get back to winning ways.

There will be Cheltenham clues a plenty at Kempton today with the Supreme clash of Irving and First Mohican in the Dovecote Novice Hurdle (3.15). Irving is undefeated and is highly regarded by connections. First Mohican showed his hurdling promise when winning first time out and was once mentioned by the great Sir Henry Cecil in the same breath as the brilliant Frankel. Whoever comes out on top today is sure to shorten for the Cheltenham Festival opener. Don’t be surprised if Cup Final blows the whistle on both of their unbeaten records.

Up at Newcastle, the marathon Eider Chase (2.55) is a fascinating contest where a number of the field will look to get back to winning ways. Tim Vaughan’s Our Island has both the form and the stamina to make a bold show, with Gordon Elliott’s Tarquinius being an eye-catching entry.

At Lingfield in the Cleves Stakes (1.45) the siblings Ladiesareforever and Hoof It will make it a family affair in the listed contest.

Crockford’s Dead Cert – Fago (Chepstow 3.05)

Paul Nicholls’ is Fago is certain to be in the mix in the Bombay Hunt Cup. An outstanding novice he has been pitched in against higher company than this on a couple of occasions this season. When last in this grade he won easily at Haydock and will do so again today at a big price.

Crockford’s Whisper – Our Island e/w (Newcastle – Eider Chase 2.55)

There has been a strong whisper for Our Island for the last few days. He showed that he had the stamina for this when running well in the National Hunt Chase at the Festival last year and will relish the conditions. With him down at the bottom of the weights expect him to creep into the frame.

Archer’s Selection – Grandeur (Lingfield 3.30)

Archer would have demanded the booking on this globe-trotting star. In what is a weak contest the jockey would have be certain of the prize money.

Crockford’s Gambles on Saturday 22 February:

Kempton – Activial (2.05), Fox Appeal (2.40), First Mohican (3.15), Planet Of Sound e/w (3.50) and Full Shift (4.25)

Newcastle – Our Island e/w and Tarquinius e/w (2.55) and Fentara e/w (4.30)

Chepstow – Gate Please (1.20), Swnymor e/w (2.30), Fago (3.05) and Tullyesker Hill (3.40)

Lingfield –  Hoof It (1.45), Welease Bwian e/w (2.15), Grey Mirage (2.50) and Grandeur (3.30)

Fairyhouse – Plinth (1.25), Mount Benbulben (3.10), Kalmann (3.45) and Seabass (4.20)

 

(Featured Photograph – Trainer Phillip Hobbs at Chepstow by Stuart Rice)