Golden L’Arc De Triomphe to be historic clash between super mare Treve and John Gosden’s Derby winner Golden Horn
This afternoon’s mouth-watering renewal of the race will see the super-mare Treve attempt to win a historic third L’Arc De Triomphe. In her way will be the classy classic generation New Bay and Derby winning Golden Horn.
The mare looked in ominous form when winning at Longchamp last month and seemed to be better than ever. Connections claim that she is back to the form that saw her take the 2013 race in breathtaking style and for that reason she is a worthy favourite. Earlier on that Longchamp card last month the three-year-old Fabre colt New Bay demolished a good field to be put right in the mix.
However, Treve will have the most to fear from the Derby winning Golden Horn who will relish the ground and the trip. John Gosden’s colt was a sublime victor at Epsom, who followed that victory up with good wins at Sandown and Leopardstown. Golden Horn is certainly special and may have the chance to prove it in a race that will play to his strengths.
At longer prices Dermot Weld’s Free Eagle cannot be overlooked, unlucky in running behind Golden Horn at Leopardstown he is certainly great value at big double figure prices along with Flintshire and Tapestry.
Crockford’s L’Arc De Triomphe 2015 Prediction:
1 Golden Horn
3 Free Eagle
Golden Horn to glitter in the Paris sunshine to show that he is a true champion and one of the best John Gosden has ever trained.
(Featured Photograph – Golden Horn’s trainer John Gosden by Stuart Rice)
Trainer John Gosden’s filly Taghrooda looks set to triumph in an open L’Arc De Triomphe this afternoon
John Gosden’s Taghrooda is one of the most exciting middle distance fillies in years and would have remained unbeaten if was not for being in season on her last start at York. Imperious in both the Oaks and King George earlier this summer, the Gosden three-year-old has all the hallmarks of a real L’Arc De Triomphe contender. Last year Treve had not a disimilar profile and took advantage of the fillies weight allowance to blow away a field of quality male rivals. Out of the form she showed twelve months ago Treve will now be succeeded by the Oaks winner.
In what is an open race Taghrooda has the most to fear from the three Japanese challengers; Harp Star, Gold Ship and Just A Way. Trainer Sugai does not share the fears of many pundits in thinking that the world’s top rated horse (Just A Way) will not stay the distance. On the contrary he feels that the race and conditions will be perfect for his horse and that his second string Gold Ship has a strong chance too. Harp Star has attracted a lot of attention from the punters but might be just short of this grade.
A few weeks ago Ectot, the now likely favourite, was as high as 50/1 in some places. His recent win has seen his price tumble alongside the buoyant confidence of his connections. However, in terms of value the St Leger winner Kingston Hill has been overlooked with quotes of around 25/1. Much is made of the draw in L’Arc but don’t be surprised if Varian’s horse can overcome the wide posting.
The supporting card for L’Arc De Triomphe is packed full of quality as you would expect. Full Mast, Shamkala and Night Of Light come to the meeting with big reputations and look likely to deliver on them.
Crockford’s L’Arc De Triomphe Day Gambles:
L’Abbaye (1.00) – Catcall e/w
Marcel Boussac (1.35) – Night Of Light
Grand Criterium (2.10) – Full Mast
L’Opera (2.45) – Shamkala e/w
L’Arc De Triomphe (3.30) – Taghrooda e/w
La Floret (4.50) – Karakontie
Cadran (5.20) – Pale Mimosa
(Featured photograph – John Gosden at Glorious Goodwood by Stuart Rice)