Crockford considers the field for the 205th running of the 2000 Guineas -Will the Irish or Richard Hannon claim the first Classic of 2013?
In what looks to be a vintage renewal of the Newmarket Classic punters will be asking if Richard Hannon’s unbeaten Toronado can breeze past his Irish rivals. The Craven Stakes winner will face stiff competition from the game Dawn Approach who was undefeated in six starts last season. The son of New Approach will look to go one better than his father when he runs this afternoon in the Guineas. However, the real Irish threat to Toronado may come from the O’Brien camp in the form of the Dundalk maiden winner – Mars.
Back on QIPCO Champions Day Crockford was informed of how highly Mars is regarded and what real raw talent he has. It would not be beyond the stable to produce him first time out to win the Classic as they have done so with frequency before. This years renewal of the 2000 Guineas looks a genuinely open contest where Toronado, Dawn Approach and Mars could be anything. Punters would also be foolish to write off the chances of Hannon’s other runner Van Der Neer too.
Crockford reviews the 2013 2000 Guineas field:
Correspondent – Twice an all-weather winner and fourth in the Greenham at Newbury he will be outclassed and deserves the 100/1 odds quoted for him.
Cristoforo Columbo – High class performer last season who chased Dawn Approach home at Royal Ascot. It is eye-catching that Joseph O’Brien has chosen his experience over the raw ability of his stablemate Mars and the form of George Vancouver.
Dawn Approach – Unbeaten and game, this colt will certainly appreciate the trip and will not be phased by the Rowley Mile having won at the course before. Leading contender who may well be anything.
Dont Bother Me – Run second in two Irish trials but looks to be here to make up the numbers and should not figure in the finish.
Garswood – Impressive winner at the Craven Meeting of the European Free Handicap. Even though connections are confident of a big run today he would really have to step up to be a contender and make the frame.
George Vancouver – Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf winner finished third behind Dawn Approach at Newmarket and should find it difficult to reverse that form this afternoon.
Glory Awaits – Outclassed by this field and worthy of 200/1 price.
Kyllachy Rise – A maiden who finished second at Newbury behind Cape Peron. This is an interesting runner for Sir Henry Cecil who must regard this horse highly but looks out of this.
Leitir Mor – Second to his stablemate Dawn Approach at Newmarket in the Autumn. His seasonal reappearance was in a listed sprint in the Ireland from which he may well come on. He could be each way value at 50/1 even with him being here to ensure the pace.
Mars – Highly regarded by Ballydoyle this all-weather maiden winner has a bright future ahead of him. The whisper around about his raw ability certainly is worthy of note. He could win this but Jospeh O’Brien’s choice to ride another is a definite concern.
Moohaajim – Came cruising in the Greenham at Newbury but did not find anything. Looks much more of a sprinter than miler.
Toronado – Very impressive in the Craven and highly touted by the Hannons. Hughes believes that he may be the best he has ridden. Bullish comments make this horse hard to pass over.
Van Der Neer – Chased Kingsbarns home in the Racing Post Trophy and looked talented when quickening up to win last time out. With William Buick booked he could be excellent each way value at 14/1.
Crockford’s prediction for the 2000 Guineas:
3 VAN DER NEER
The O’Briens will claim another 2000 Guineas denying Richard Hughes of his first Classic winner.
(Featured Photograph – Rowley Mile a Newmarket by Stuart Rice)